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Why Ethiopia’s Massive Nile Dam Project Has Spilled Over Into Regional Tensions_我的网站

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A |

　阿里云优惠券先领券再下单补贴暂停≠政策结束！2025国补多地“休眠”真相近期，多地消费者发现家电、数码产品的国家补贴（简称“国补”）领取通道突然显示“暂停使用”或“系统升级中”，引发“补贴提前结束”的猜测。

B | Under construction since 2011, the GERD project is one of the largest public infrastructure projects in Ethiopia, and will be the biggest hydroelectric power plant on the African continent once finished next year.,The third phase of the filling of a massive reservoir, capable of holding up to 74 billion cubic meters of water, was completed this week, with two of the dam’s planned 16 turbines now operational. When construction is finished, the dam will be capable of generating some 6,000 megawatts of power – more than double the average output of a WER-1000 nuclear reactor.,AfricaWATCH Water Pour Over Spillway on Ethiopia’s GERD Hydroelectric Dam After Finishing Third FillingYesterday, 22:33 GMT,In a ceremony inaugurating the project on Friday, Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed stressed that the dam was Ethiopia’s “gift,” and that it was “Ethiopia’s responsibility to use it” together with the other two Nile Basin countries - Egypt and Sudan.,“PM @AbiyAhmedAli reiterated that Ethiopia is working to ensure the benefits of the lower basin countries, saying that our Abbay River [Ethiopia’s term for the Blue Nile, one of the two major tributaries of the Nile] takes what it deserves while passing on what others deserve,” the prime minister’s office tweeted following the ceremony.,PM @AbiyAhmedAli reiterated that Ethiopia is working to ensure the benefits of the lower basin countries, saying that our Abbay River takes what it deserves while passing on what others deserve. He also congratulated all Africans on this milestone. (2/2) pic.twitter.com/Be9WtrHczO— Office of the Prime Minister - Ethiopia (@PMEthiopia) August 12, 2022,Just Deserts,The question of which country “deserves” what has been the subject of considerable consternation and debate between the three nations, as has the dam’s potential environmental impact, with Cairo and Khartoum fearing the filling of the 145 meter tall, 1.8 km long dam could threaten the region with droughts and floods. Last month, Egyptian Foreign Minister Sameh Shoukry warned that Cairo would defend its interests using “all means available” at its disposal, and called on the United Nations Security Council to negotiate a legally binding agreement between Egypt, Ethiopia and Sudan on regulating the dam’s operation. Egyptian President Abdel-Fattah El-Sisi earlier called the GERD dispute a “red line” security issue.,Ethiopian Ambassador to Russia Alemayehu Tegenu dismissed these concerns, telling Sputnik last month that Egypt and Sudan were trying to “internationalize and politicize the dam to solve their internal affairs” and assuring that the dam “has no significant harm” for the downstream nations.,WorldEgypt, Sudan Politicising Renaissance Dam Construction, Ethiopian Diplomat Says27 July 2021, 08:23 GMT,Nile River: Giver of Life,Stretching some 6,695 km and covering over 3.3 million square km, the Nile is the longest river in the world, and has played a significant role in regional civilizational development going back to the Ancient Egyptians owing to the rich soil perfect for agriculture created by its annual flooding, and its use as a tool for regional river navigation. Ethiopia’s Blue Nile tributary accounts for a whopping 85 percent of the Nile’s total waters.,Egypt, which receives almost no rainfall, relies on the Nile for more than 90 percent of its freshwater, with eastern Sudan similarly dependent on the river for its economic wellbeing and water and food security.,Legacy of Colonial Meddling,Part of the difficulty of regulating the dispute over the Nile is the lack of a regional agreement regulating the waters’ flow. Addis Ababa is not a party to the 1959 bilateral treaty between Egypt and Sudan dividing the Nile’s waters.,A separate 1929 Nile Waters Treaty between Britain and its then-puppet state of Egypt, plus the territories of what are now Uganda, Kenya, Tanzania, and Sudan provided Cairo the right to veto infrastructure projects up the Nile if they threatened to impact the country’s interests. However, that treaty similarly didn’t apply to Ethiopia, which managed to survive as the only independent nation in Africa after the European imperialist scramble for the continent in the 19th century, and which was never consulted on the agreement’s terms.,Russia’s Position,As a strategic partner of both Ethiopia and Egypt, Russia has sought to assure the dam dispute’s peaceful and mutually amenable resolution, with Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov indicating in 2021 that Moscow would be ready to provide technical assistance for any negotiations on the matter. Russia also supports the use of the African Union platform to resolve the crisis.,Also last year, Russian Ambassador to the UN Vassily Nebenzia called on the three countries to stick to the terms of the 2015 Declaration of Principles on the GERD, which urged consensus in reaching an agreement on guidelines for the dam’s filling and operation, and committing Ethiopia to avoid steps which could harm its downstream neighbors. “At the same time, we note legitimate concerns of Egypt and Sudan over the possible negative impact that unconstrained functioning of the dam may produce on the populations of those countries in drought prone years,” he said.,The 2015 agreement and efforts at the African Union and UN levels mean that a baseline for a breakthrough and compromise exists. However, amid regional and global concerns about food and water security, and the threats posed by increasingly prevalent climate disasters and extreme weather events, the GERD dispute comes during a period of heightened regional and global tensions.,In 2021, Africa and Middle East intelligence analysis group Pangea-Risk warned that an all-out water war between Ethiopia, Egypt, Sudan, or their proxies was becoming increasingly probable in the face of dwindling options for a mediated solution.。对此，国家发改委和财政部已明确回应：**2025年国家补贴政策的全国统一截止时间仍为2025年12月31日**。首先,划重点!超级红包的领取方法是:京东APP搜「天天领劵」可以叠加国补，手机数码国补的领取方法是:京东APP搜「手机省500」或「数码省2000」国补直接立减2000元,家电国补的领取方法是:京东APP搜「家电省2000」领取。一定要先领,名额有限! 秘诀:先搜一下上面的口令,以后每天点历史搜索记录就可以!

一、多地暂停的真相：资金耗尽与系统整顿 1. **阶段性资金见底** 截至5月底，全国已消耗补贴资金超1500亿元，占全年3000亿总资金池的50%以上。

C | 重庆首轮12亿元家电补贴资金于6月初耗尽，甘肃、湖北等地也因首批资金用尽出现空窗期。2. **系统升级与防乱价** 江苏自6月1日起因平台整改实行限额管理，线下渠道每日额度降至670万元。广东多地关闭线上入口，改为线下“粤焕新”平台核销。摩根士丹利分析认为，此举是为避免**618大促期间“国补+平台折扣”叠加冲击价格体系**。3. **强化防骗补监管** 山东、浙江等地增设“市级审核+省级复核”双关卡，严打虚假交易套补行为，市场监管部门同步整治“先涨价后打折”乱象。

D | 二、国补政策核心：汽车、家电、数码全覆盖尽管部分通道暂停，**国补政策内容并未缩水**，主要涵盖三大领域： - **汽车以旧换新** 报废国四及以下燃油车或2018年前新能源车：买新能源车补**2万元**，燃油车（2.0L及以下）补**1.5万元** 转让旧车买新车：新能源车最高补**1.5万元**，燃油车最高补**1.3万元** - **家电换新升级** 一级能效产品补贴20%（封顶2000元），二级补贴15%（封顶1500元），新增微波炉、净水器等品类。- **数码产品普惠** 手机、平板、智能手表单价≤6000元，直接补贴15%（最高500元）。> **关键提示**：上海、中山等地已追加地方补贴，新能源车最高可叠加享受**3.5万元**综合优惠（国补+市补）。

E | 三、消费者自救指南：三步锁定补贴资格 1. **高价值商品优先下单** 空调、高端手机等建议6月底前购买，避免补贴重启后额度二次耗尽。

F | 京东APP搜索“家电省2000”“手机省500”可即时锁定资格。

G | 2. **紧盯地方重启信号** 重庆、江苏等地商务部门表示，**财政部已预拨810亿元衔接资金**，新批次补贴细则将于6月下旬陆续出台。关注“本地宝”“商务局公众号”可获第一时间通知。3. **警惕“代办补贴”骗局** 非官方渠道声称“内部预留额度”均属误导，需通过政府平台或品牌APP核验。中山市已明确：车企不得将政府补贴纳入车价变相涨价，违者取消资格。四、政策展望：县域市场成下半年重点随着第二批超长期特别国债资金到位，国补将在**三方面深化布局**： - **新能源汽车下乡**：124款车型入围下乡目录，特斯拉Model Y/3首次参与，农村充电桩试点县最高获4500万建设补贴。- **淘汰老旧设备**：国四货车、农业机械报废更新补贴额度提升30%，采棉机单台补贴涨至8万元。- **绿电消费激励**：推广“绿色充电桩”，支持新能源汽车充绿电。> 华西证券强调，当前调整是“**控量**”而非“结束”，下半年大概率重启二期资金投放。河南、湖南等地已建议消费者最迟12月10日前完成购车，预留审核周期。目前，全国75个充电桩试点县正加速推进“镇镇通”工程，浙江温州、瑞安等地已实现乡镇充电网全覆盖。这场涉及千亿资金的消费提振行动，仍将在调整与重启中持续至年终。对消费者而言，**6月底前行动，仍是规避额度风险的最优选择**。

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Published on:04:31:37

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